Monday, August 25, 2008

i don't get this

ughhh...man, can conservative media be idiotic. what a bunch of douches:

jerk

the real reason why i link the above it, like so many other articles i've seen about the convention, talk about hillary clinton. a commonly cited fact is "only 52 percent of whom are now supporting him, according to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll." but i don't get this?! each article seems to make reference to some generic angry, bicurious, vengeful, near-sighted, embittered hillary supporter. but i don't think there are that many of these. are hillary supporters really so myopic and bitter? many some, but even with the above poll, i'm not convinced it's many. here's an over-simplification of the three hillary supporters i envision (sorry for the cartoonish stereotypes):

1. liberal, feminist women
2. clinton-lovers (southern democrats and the like that loved bill clinton and the clinton brand of democratic politics)
3. salt of the earth working class rural folk in west virginia (and other rural states where obama was creamed)

of these three, i think #2 shouldn't be a problem. people who are truly clinton-lovers, are deeply partisan. as much as they dislike the primary results, their democrats and will grit their teeth and put aside resentment to vote obama. with #3, i think this group is always tough for a democratic candidate. had clinton gotten the nomination, i still think it would've been a tough job to keep from losing these votes to a republican ticket. obama is actively working to gain these votes with the biden selection, and i think just as in the primaries it's gonna be tough. and these are the important votes. painting mccain as disconnected and shrouded in multi-house luxury is good tactic for obama. the #1s, however, seem to be the most often-cited disgruntled hillary supporters. but i don't think they're a large contingency and i don't think any would really vote for a pro-life, drill and kill gop candidate.

it's all about securing #3. it was this demographic that obama struggled with in the primaries. and mccain thus far seems like a much less formidable candidate than hillary in securing these votes. they're the 52%, and they're what ultimately matters.

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